Green Gully vs Dandenong Thunder: result 4-2 and analysis
Victoria NPLRegular Season - 11Kick-off on April 28, 2023 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Green Gully Reserve, Melbourne
Full time
What was the result of Green Gully vs Dandenong Thunder?
Green Gully won 4-2 on April 28, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 2′L. JeggoGreen Gully
- 18′J. HopeGreen Gully
- 36′A. GerezGreen Gully
- 38′K. DoverDandenong Thunder
- 83′L. MazisDandenong Thunder
- 90′J. HopeGreen Gully
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Green Gully have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Dandenong Thunder have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2023 | Melbourne Knights(away) | 2-3 | Victoria NPL |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Hume City(home) | 1-3 | Victoria NPL |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Moreland City(home) | 6-2 | Victoria NPL |
| Apr 1, 2023 | North Geelong Warriors(away) | 7-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Avondale(away) | 2-3 | Victoria NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2023 | Moreland City(home) | 3-2 | Victoria NPL |
| Apr 15, 2023 | North Geelong Warriors(away) | 2-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Avondale(home) | 1-3 | Victoria NPL |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Altona Magic(away) | 2-3 | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Port Melbourne(home) | 2-6 | Victoria NPL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Green Gully win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Dandenong Thunder win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2022 | Dandenong Thunder 3-0 Green Gully | Victoria NPL |
| May 13, 2022 | Green Gully 3-0 Dandenong Thunder | Victoria NPL |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Dandenong Thunder 4-0 Green Gully | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2021 | Green Gully 2-2 Dandenong Thunder | Victoria NPL |
| Aug 17, 2019 | Green Gully 6-2 Dandenong Thunder | Victoria NPL |
| May 11, 2019 | Dandenong Thunder 2-4 Green Gully | Victoria NPL |
Last archived meeting: Dandenong Thunder vs Green Gully on Aug 21, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Green Gully score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dandenong Thunder score 1.9 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Gully | 2.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Dandenong Thunder | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Green Gully sit 13th in Victoria NPL (15 points from 25 matches) and Dandenong Thunder sit 14th (15 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Green Gully | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 51 | 15 |
| 14 | Dandenong Thunder | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 23 | 59 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy