Green Gully vs Hume City: result 1-0 and analysis
Victoria NPLRegular Season - 11Kick-off on May 3, 2019 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Green Gully Reserve, Melbourne
Full time
What was the result of Green Gully vs Hume City?
Green Gully won 1-0 on May 3, 2019.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Green Gully have 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Hume City have 5, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2019 | Melbourne Knights(away) | 1-2 | Victoria NPL |
| Apr 15, 2019 | Kingston City(away) | 4-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Apr 6, 2019 | Pascoe Vale(home) | 4-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 31, 2019 | South Melbourne(away) | 1-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 23, 2019 | Avondale(home) | 2-5 | Victoria NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2019 | Pascoe Vale(home) | 2-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Apr 14, 2019 | South Melbourne(away) | 2-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Apr 6, 2019 | Avondale(home) | 1-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 29, 2019 | Port Melbourne(away) | 1-5 | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 22, 2019 | Dandenong City(home) | 5-1 | Victoria NPL |
How many goals should we expect?
Green Gully score 2.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 10; Hume City score 1.9 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Gully | 2.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/10 | 7/10 |
| Hume City | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/10 | 6/10 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Green Gully sit 13th in Victoria NPL (15 points from 25 matches) and Hume City sit 3rd (49 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hume City | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 51 | 34 | 49 |
| 13 | Green Gully | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 51 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy