Where and when is Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence played?

Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Paladin Stadium, in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Paladin Stadium, Greenville, South Carolina

Greenville Triumph

Charlotte Independence

The Footlab model makes Charlotte Independence the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Greenville Triumph. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence?

Charlotte Independence starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,780 vs 1,624).

Greenville Triumph win30 %

Draw24 %

Charlotte Independence win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Greenville Triumph have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Charlotte Independence have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Greenville Triumph
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Spokane Velocity(away)	1-2	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	One Knoxville(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 13, 2026	Forward Madison(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 8, 2026	Charlotte Independence(away)	0-1	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine(home)	3-3	USL League One

Charlotte Independence
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Forward Madison(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	Sarasota Paradise(home)	3-1	USL League One
Aug 12, 2026	Hartford Athletic(home)	2-4	USL League One Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Greenville Triumph(home)	1-0	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	One Knoxville(home)	3-1	USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Greenville Triumph win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Charlotte Independence win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Charlotte Independence 1-0 Greenville Triumph	USL League One
Jun 24, 2026	Charlotte Independence 1-0 Greenville Triumph	USL League One Cup
Aug 9, 2025	Charlotte Independence 4-5 Greenville Triumph	USL League One
Jun 15, 2025	Charlotte Independence 1-0 Greenville Triumph	USL League One
Apr 5, 2025	Greenville Triumph 1-0 Charlotte Independence	USL League One
Aug 30, 2024	Greenville Triumph 0-1 Charlotte Independence	USL League One Cup

Last archived meeting: Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Greenville Triumph score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Charlotte Independence score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Greenville Triumph	1.1	1.6	2	8/15	9/15
Charlotte Independence	2.1	1.5	3	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Greenville Triumph sit 15th in USL League One (20 points from 21 matches) and Charlotte Independence sit 2nd (43 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Charlotte Independence	21	13	4	4	47	29	43
15	Greenville Triumph	21	5	5	11	23	35	20

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence?: The Footlab model makes Charlotte Independence the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Greenville Triumph.
Where and when is Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence played?: Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Paladin Stadium, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.