Grêmio Barueri vs Parana: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 6Kick-off on June 13, 2012 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Prefeito José Liberatti, Osasco, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Grêmio Barueri vs Parana?
Parana won 1-2 on June 13, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 30′MarcelinhoGrêmio Barueri
- 55′Wellington da Silva SerezuellaParana (pen.)
- 76′Wellington da Silva SerezuellaParana (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grêmio Barueri have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Parana have 1, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2012 | Guarani Campinas(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Jun 2, 2012 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| May 30, 2012 | ABC(home) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| May 27, 2012 | ASA(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| May 19, 2012 | Vitoria(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2012 | Guaratinguetá(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Jun 6, 2012 | Goias(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Jun 3, 2012 | RB Bragantino(away) | 3-3 | Serie B |
| May 30, 2012 | America Mineiro(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| May 19, 2012 | Guarani Campinas(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Grêmio Barueri score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Parana score 1.4 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio Barueri | 1.1 | 2.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Parana | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy