Grêmio Prudente vs AEA: result 2-1 and analysis
Copa Paulista1st Round - 4Kick-off on July 5, 2025 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Paulo Constantino, Presidente Prudente, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Grêmio Prudente vs AEA?
Grêmio Prudente won 2-1 on July 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 34′MikaGrêmio Prudente
- 70′KauanGrêmio Prudente
- 90′JhonatanAEA
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grêmio Prudente have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; AEA have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2025 | Noroeste(away) | 0-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Monte Azul(home) | 3-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Ferroviária(away) | 1-3 | Paulista - A2 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Santo André(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Rio Claro(away) | 0-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2025 | Noroeste(home) | 2-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Monte Azul(away) | 0-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Linense(home) | 2-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Uniao Barbarense(away) | 0-4 | Paulista - A4 |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Uniao Barbarense(home) | 3-2 | Paulista - A4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Grêmio Prudente score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; AEA score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio Prudente | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| AEA | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy