Gremio vs Atletico-MG: result 2-3 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 25Kick-off on September 1, 2024 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Atletico-MG?
Atletico-MG won 2-3 on September 1, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 32′M. BraithwaiteGremio
- 41′F. CristaldoGremio
- 73′Gustavo ScarpaAtletico-MG (pen.)
- 90′B. PalaciosAtletico-MG (pen.)
- 90′E. VargasAtletico-MG
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Atletico-MG have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2024 | Criciuma(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Fluminense(away) | 1-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Bahia(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Fluminense(home) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Cuiaba(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2024 | Sao Paulo(away) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Fluminense(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 21, 2024 | San Lorenzo(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Cuiaba(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 14, 2024 | San Lorenzo(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gremio win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Atletico-MG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2023 | Atletico-MG 3-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Gremio 1-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Dec 10, 2021 | Gremio 4-3 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 4, 2021 | Atletico-MG 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jan 20, 2021 | Gremio 1-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Atletico-MG 3-1 Gremio | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Atletico-MG vs Gremio on Nov 26, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico-MG score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Atletico-MG | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Atletico-MG sit 7th (33 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy