Gretna 2008 vs Troon FC: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Raydale Park, Gretna
The Footlab model makes Troon FC the favourite at 55%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Gretna 2008. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gretna 2008 vs Troon FC?
Troon FC starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,578 vs 1,338).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gretna 2008 have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Troon FC have 3, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 1-7 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(home) | 3-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kilwinning Rangers(home) | 1-5 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Troon FC(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Newton Stewart(home) | 3-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Beith(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renfrew(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 2-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gretna 2008(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Gretna 2008 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Troon FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Troon FC 4-1 Gretna 2008 | Football League - Lowland League |
Last archived meeting: Troon FC vs Gretna 2008 on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gretna 2008 score 1.3 and concede 3.3 goals per match over their last 15; Troon FC score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gretna 2008 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Troon FC | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gretna 2008 sit 25th in Football League - Lowland League (4 points from 6 matches) and Troon FC sit 13th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Troon FC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 25 | Gretna 2008 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gretna 2008 vs Troon FC?
- The Footlab model makes Troon FC the favourite at 55%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Gretna 2008.
- Where and when is Gretna 2008 vs Troon FC played?
- Gretna 2008 vs Troon FC is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Raydale Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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