Grohn vs Brinkumer SV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 26Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Brinkumer SV the favourite at 54%, against 19% for a draw and 28% for Grohn. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grohn vs Brinkumer SV?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Grohn (1,738) and Brinkumer SV (1,829).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Grohn have 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Brinkumer SV have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | OSC Bremerhaven(home) | 0-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eiche Horn(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eiche Horn(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Woltmershausen(away) | 10-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hemelingen(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 9, 2026 | BTS Neustadt(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
How many goals should we expect?
Grohn score 0.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 3; Brinkumer SV score 3.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grohn | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1 | 1/3 | 1/3 |
| Brinkumer SV | 3.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grohn sit 9th in Oberliga - Bremen (4 points from 3 matches) and Brinkumer SV sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Brinkumer SV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Grohn | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grohn vs Brinkumer SV?
- The Footlab model makes Brinkumer SV the favourite at 54%, against 19% for a draw and 28% for Grohn.
- Where and when is Grohn vs Brinkumer SV played?
- Grohn vs Brinkumer SV is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.