Guabirá vs Aurora: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónCopa Sudamericana Play-offs - 1st Phase FinalsKick-off on May 5, 2018 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Gilberto Parada, Montero
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What was the result of Guabirá vs Aurora?
Guabirá won 1-0 on May 5, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 52′J. CastilloGuabirá
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Guabirá have 2 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Aurora have 3, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2018 | Club Destroyers(away) | 4-4 | Primera División |
| Apr 21, 2018 | Bolívar(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 15, 2018 | Real Potosí(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 6, 2018 | Club Universitario(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 31, 2018 | Jorge Wilstermann(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2018 | Nacional Potosí(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 22, 2018 | San José(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Apr 15, 2018 | Jorge Wilstermann(away) | 1-5 | Primera División |
| Apr 7, 2018 | Blooming(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 3, 2018 | Sport Boys(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Guabirá score 1.6 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 14; Aurora score 1.0 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guabirá | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/14 | 9/14 |
| Aurora | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/14 | 6/14 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guabirá sit 7th in Primera División (11 points from 9 matches) and Aurora sit 3rd (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aurora | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Guabirá | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 27 | 24 |
| 7 | Aurora | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 22 | 23 |
| 7 | Guabirá | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy