Gualan vs Santa Lucía: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionClausura - 14Kick-off on March 23, 2025 at 12:00 AM (UTC)
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gualan have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Santa Lucía have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2024 | Mictlán(away) | 1-3 | Primera Division |
| Oct 20, 2024 | AFF Guatemala(home) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Oct 16, 2024 | Deportivo Barberena(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 13, 2024 | San Benito(away) | 0-5 | Primera Division |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Santa Lucía(home) | 3-3 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | Universidad San Carlos(home) | 3-0 | Primera Division |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Mictlán(away) | 0-3 | Primera Division |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Aurora(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Mar 2, 2025 | AFF Guatemala(away) | 2-3 | Primera Division |
| Feb 27, 2025 | San Benito(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Gualan win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Santa Lucía win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2024 | Gualan 3-3 Santa Lucía | Primera Division |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Santa Lucía 5-0 Gualan | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Gualan score 0.8 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Lucía score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gualan | 0.8 | 2.4 | 1 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Santa Lucía | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Santa Lucía | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27 | 21 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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- Mar 23, 2025Quiché1-2Suchitepéquez
- Mar 23, 2025Mictlán1-0Aurora
- Mar 23, 2025Democracia2-0San Pedro
- Mar 23, 2025Nueva Concepción4-0Pajapita
- Mar 23, 2025Universidad San Carlos1-1AFF Guatemala