Guangzhou Evergrande FC vs Melbourne Victory: result 4-0 and analysis
AFC Champions League EliteGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on April 10, 2019 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Tianhe Stadium, Canton
Full time
What was the result of Guangzhou Evergrande FC vs Melbourne Victory?
Guangzhou Evergrande FC won 4-0 on April 10, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 6′TaliscaGuangzhou Evergrande FC
- 10′TaliscaGuangzhou Evergrande FC
- 42′Yang XinGuangzhou Evergrande FC
- 73′L. BroxhamGuangzhou Evergrande FC (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guangzhou Evergrande FC have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Melbourne Victory have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | Guangzhou R&F(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Dalian Aerbin(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Mar 12, 2019 | Daegu FC(away) | 1-3 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Mar 8, 2019 | Tianjin Teda(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Mar 5, 2019 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home) | 2-0 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | Sydney(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Perth Glory(away) | 2-0 | A-League |
| Mar 16, 2019 | Brisbane Roar(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Mar 12, 2019 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Mar 5, 2019 | Daegu FC(home) | 1-3 | AFC Champions League Elite |
How many goals should we expect?
Guangzhou Evergrande FC score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Melbourne Victory score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangzhou Evergrande FC | 2.5 | 1.1 | 8 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Melbourne Victory | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy