Guarani MG vs Aracruz: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie DRegular Season - 7Kick-off on July 22, 2012 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Waldemar Teixeira de Faria, Divinópolis, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Guarani MG vs Aracruz?
Guarani MG and Aracruz drew 1-1 on July 22, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 8′Carlos Eduardo Pereira BispoGuarani MG
- 83′David Dener Rocha dos Santos Delfino da SilvaAracruz
Official lineup for Guarani MG vs Aracruz
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Guarani MG
- IIvan Carlos de Souza Santos
- CCarlos Eduardo Pereira Bispo
- RRobertinho
- AAnderson Toto
- JJouberth Diniz Ferreira Filho
- MMárcio Santos dos Reis
- WWanderson Soares de Souza
- WWashington Diogo Balduino
- LLuiz da Cruz Silva
- CCarlinhos
- TThiago Braga
Aracruz
- TTiago Leite do Amaral
- LLeo Goncalves
- GGlauber Rodrigues da Silva
- DDavid Dener Rocha dos Santos Delfino da Silva
- FFernando Viana Da Silva
- MMarcio Alexandre Bastos da Costa
- FFernando Alves dos Santos
- EElinei
- AAyrton
- LLeonardo Felix De Souza
- HHiran
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Guarani MG have 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Aracruz have 1, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2012 | Nacional MG(away) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Jul 8, 2012 | Volta Redonda(away) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 24, 2012 | Friburguense(home) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2012 | Volta Redonda(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Jul 7, 2012 | Friburguense(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 2, 2012 | Nacional MG(away) | 0-0 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Guarani MG score 0.0 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 3; Aracruz score 0.7 and concede 0.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani MG | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0/3 | 0/3 |
| Aracruz | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2 | 1/3 | 0/3 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy