Gubbio vs Recanatese: result 2-1 and analysis
Coppa Italia Serie C1st RoundKick-off on October 5, 2022 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Pietro Barbetti, Gubbio
Full time
What was the result of Gubbio vs Recanatese?
Gubbio won 2-1 on October 5, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 31′L. Di StefanoGubbio
- 59′?Gubbio
- 63′?Recanatese
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gubbio have 10 wins, 5 draws and 0 defeats; Recanatese have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2022 | Carrarese(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Virtus Entella(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Ancona(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 14, 2022 | Alessandria(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Fermana(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2022 | Cesena(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Torres(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 18, 2022 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 14, 2022 | Fermana(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Carrarese(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Gubbio score 1.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Recanatese score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gubbio | 1.5 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Recanatese | 1.3 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy