Guerreros vs Leones Negros: result 4-5 and analysis
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 11Kick-off on November 9, 2025 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Héroe de Nacozari
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What was the result of Guerreros vs Leones Negros?
Leones Negros won 4-5 on November 9, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 1′F. MoralesLeones Negros
- 6′575727Guerreros
- 11′E. NavarroLeones Negros
- 45′607839Guerreros
- 50′616783Leones Negros
- 56′575725Guerreros
- 64′616783Leones Negros
- 65′575725Guerreros
- 82′T. BarbaLeones Negros
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Guerreros have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Leones Negros have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Los Cabos United(away) | 4-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Tigres de Alica(home) | 2-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Tritons Vallarta(away) | 2-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Tecos(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | UA Zacatecas(home) | 2-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Mineros de Fresnillo(home) | 2-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Cimarrones(away) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Ensenada(home) | 3-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Acatlan(away) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Durango(home) | 0-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Guerreros score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 10; Leones Negros score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guerreros | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1 | 7/10 | 7/10 |
| Leones Negros | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guerreros sit 9th in Liga Premier Serie A (32 points from 26 matches) and Leones Negros sit 4th (53 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Leones Negros | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 42 | 26 | 53 |
| 9 | Guerreros | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 38 | 42 | 32 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 2, 2025Ensenada0-3Durango
- Nov 7, 2025Tecos3-1Los Cabos United
- Nov 8, 2025FC Santiago0-2Correcaminos UAT II
- Nov 8, 2025Cañoneros Marina0-4Deportiva Venados
- Nov 8, 2025Inter Playa del Carmen0-2Celaya
- Nov 8, 2025Cimarrones0-0Reboceros La Piedad
- Nov 8, 2025Mineros de Fresnillo3-0Colima
- Nov 8, 2025Chilpancingo1-1Calor de San Pedro