Gurten vs Wals-Grünau: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NorthNorth - 12Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Park21-Arena Gurten, Gurten
The Footlab model makes Gurten the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Wals-Grünau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gurten vs Wals-Grünau?
Gurten starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,770 vs 1,649).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gurten have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Wals-Grünau have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grödig(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SK Vorwarts Steyr(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leonfelden(away) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bad Schallerbach(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | UFC Hallein(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kuchl(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | LASK Juniors(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Grödig(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SK Vorwarts Steyr(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Leonfelden(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Gurten win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Wals-Grünau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2025 | Gurten 6-2 Wals-Grünau | Cup |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Gurten 2-1 Wals-Grünau | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Gurten vs Wals-Grünau on Jul 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Gurten score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Wals-Grünau score 2.0 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gurten | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Wals-Grünau | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1 | 14/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gurten sit 3rd in Regionalliga - North (9 points from 5 matches) and Wals-Grünau sit 4th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Gurten | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Wals-Grünau | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gurten vs Wals-Grünau?
- The Footlab model makes Gurten the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Wals-Grünau.
- Where and when is Gurten vs Wals-Grünau played?
- Gurten vs Wals-Grünau is played on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Park21-Arena Gurten, in the Regionalliga - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.