Habay-la-Neuve vs Rochefort: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionACFF - 14Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Terrain de Habay-la-Neuve, Habay-la-Neuve
The Footlab model makes Habay-la-Neuve the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Rochefort. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Habay-la-Neuve vs Rochefort?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Habay-la-Neuve (1,857) and Rochefort (1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Habay-la-Neuve have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Rochefort have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Albert Quévy-Mons(home) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Rochefort(away) | 1-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tubize(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Meux(home) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 4, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Tubize(away) | 2-3 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 3-5 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Habay-la-Neuve(home) | 4-1 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Habay-la-Neuve win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Rochefort win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Rochefort 4-1 Habay-la-Neuve | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Habay-la-Neuve 1-0 Rochefort | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Habay-la-Neuve 2-5 Rochefort | First Amateur Division |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Rochefort 1-0 Habay-la-Neuve | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Rochefort 2-0 Habay-la-Neuve | Third Amateur Division - ACFF B |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Habay-la-Neuve 2-1 Rochefort | Third Amateur Division - ACFF B |
Last archived meeting: Rochefort vs Habay-la-Neuve on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Habay-la-Neuve score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rochefort score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Habay-la-Neuve | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Rochefort | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Habay-la-Neuve sit 2nd in First Amateur Division (12 points from 4 matches) and Rochefort sit 6th (6 points from 6 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Habay-la-Neuve | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Rochefort | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Habay-la-Neuve vs Rochefort?
- The Footlab model makes Habay-la-Neuve the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Rochefort.
- Where and when is Habay-la-Neuve vs Rochefort played?
- Habay-la-Neuve vs Rochefort is played on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Terrain de Habay-la-Neuve, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.