Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Afula Illit Stadium, Afula
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ahi Nazareth the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Hapoel Afula. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Hapoel Afula (1,689) and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (1,738).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Afula have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ashdod(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-4 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hapoel Afula win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0-1 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Hapoel Afula 1-1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Hapoel Afula 3-0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
| Oct 21, 2022 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 2-0 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| May 6, 2022 | Hapoel Afula 1-1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
| Dec 24, 2021 | Hapoel Afula 2-1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Afula on Aug 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Afula score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Afula | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Afula sit 4th in Liga Leumit (6 points from 2 matches) and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth sit 13th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hapoel Afula | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ahi Nazareth the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Hapoel Afula.
- Where and when is Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth played?
- Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth is played on December 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Afula Illit Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 18, 2026Hapoel AcrevsKafr Qasim
- Dec 18, 2026Hapoel Rishon LeZionvsMaccabi Kiryat Gat
- Dec 18, 2026Hapoel Ra'ananavsMaccabi Herzliya
- Dec 18, 2026Hapoel Kfar ShalemvsBnei Yehuda
- Dec 18, 2026Ironi Modi'invsHapoel Kfar Saba
- Dec 18, 2026Maccabi Bnei RainavsKiryat Yam SC
- Dec 18, 2026Maccabi Kabilio JaffavsAshdod