Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:15 PM (UTC)Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Tel Aviv the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Hapoel Haifa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Hapoel Tel Aviv starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (2,057 vs 1,865).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Haifa have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Tel Aviv have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(home) | 4-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 1-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(away) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(home) | 3-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 3-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 12, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hapoel Haifa win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Tel Aviv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa 3-3 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-0 Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 16, 2025 | Hapoel Haifa 1-2 Hapoel Tel Aviv | State Cup |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Hapoel Haifa 4-3 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Hapoel Haifa 1-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Haifa score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Tel Aviv score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Haifa | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Haifa sit 4th in Ligat Ha'al (34 points from 33 matches) and Hapoel Tel Aviv sit 4th (60 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hapoel Haifa | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 39 | 51 | 34 |
| 4 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 55 | 38 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Tel Aviv the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Hapoel Haifa.
- Where and when is Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv played?
- Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:15 PM (UTC) at Sammy Ofer Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.