Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 34Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Migdal HaEmek
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (1,710 vs 1,521).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0-4 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 0-0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek on Dec 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek sit 8th in Liga Alef (31 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel sit 15th (12 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 31 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 42 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
- Where and when is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel played?
- Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel is played on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Apr 17, 2027Ironi NeshervsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Apr 17, 2027Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Apr 17, 2027Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Apr 17, 2027Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsTzeirey Tamra
- Apr 17, 2027Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsBeitar Nahariya
- Apr 17, 2027Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsTira
- Apr 17, 2027Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsHapoel Ironi Karmiel