Where and when is Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Ironi Nesher played?

Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Ironi Nesher is played on January 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Green Stadium, in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Ironi Nesher: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 17Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Green Stadium, Nazareth Illit

Hapoel Nazareth Illit

Ironi Nesher

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Nazareth Illit the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Ironi Nesher. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Ironi Nesher?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Hapoel Nazareth Illit (1,660) and Ironi Nesher (1,612).

Hapoel Nazareth Illit win42 %

Draw26 %

Ironi Nesher win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Nazareth Illit have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Ironi Nesher have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 25, 2026	Hapoel Acre(home)	2-2	Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026	Ironi Modi'in(home)	0-2	Liga Leumit
May 15, 2026	Hapoel Afula(away)	1-2	Liga Leumit
May 11, 2026	Kafr Qasim(away)	1-1	Liga Leumit
May 4, 2026	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away)	0-2	Liga Leumit

Ironi Nesher
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home)	0-0	Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away)	0-3	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home)	3-1	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Tira(away)	2-0	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home)	1-1	Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hapoel Nazareth Illit win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Ironi Nesher win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 30, 2018	Hapoel Nazareth Illit 3-1 Ironi Nesher	State Cup
Mar 13, 2018	Ironi Nesher 0-1 Hapoel Nazareth Illit	Liga Leumit
Dec 4, 2017	Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1-1 Ironi Nesher	Liga Leumit
Apr 14, 2017	Hapoel Nazareth Illit 0-0 Ironi Nesher	Liga Leumit
Mar 31, 2017	Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1-1 Ironi Nesher	Liga Leumit
Dec 16, 2016	Ironi Nesher 3-1 Hapoel Nazareth Illit	Liga Leumit

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Ironi Nesher on Oct 30, 2018

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Nazareth Illit score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Nesher score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Nazareth Illit	1.3	1.7	3	9/15	7/15
Ironi Nesher	1.2	1.8	3	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Ironi Nesher	22	8	5	9	28	37	29

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Ironi Nesher?: The Footlab model makes Hapoel Nazareth Illit the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Ironi Nesher.
Where and when is Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Ironi Nesher played?: Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Ironi Nesher is played on January 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Green Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.