Harelbeke vs Dessel Sport: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 22Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Forestiersstadion, Harelbeke
The Footlab model makes Harelbeke the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Dessel Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Harelbeke vs Dessel Sport?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Harelbeke (1,850) and Dessel Sport (1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Harelbeke have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Dessel Sport have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Albert Quévy-Mons(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 14, 2026 | Londerzeel(away) | 0-0 | Second Amateur Division - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Zulte Waregem II(home) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Diksmuide(away) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(home) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Zelzate(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Knokke(home) | 4-3 | First Amateur Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Harelbeke score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Dessel Sport score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harelbeke | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Dessel Sport | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dessel Sport | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Harelbeke vs Dessel Sport?
- The Footlab model makes Harelbeke the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Dessel Sport.
- Where and when is Harelbeke vs Dessel Sport played?
- Harelbeke vs Dessel Sport is played on February 21, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Forestiersstadion, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.