Where and when is Hartlepool vs Newcastle United U21 played?

Hartlepool vs Newcastle United U21 is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at The Suit Direct Stadium, in the National League Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hartlepool vs Newcastle United U21: prediction and stats

National League CupGroup StageKick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)The Suit Direct Stadium, Hartlepool, County Durham

Hartlepool

Newcastle United U21

The Footlab model makes Hartlepool the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Newcastle United U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hartlepool vs Newcastle United U21?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Hartlepool (1,768) and Newcastle United U21 (1,727).

Hartlepool win47 %

Draw23 %

Newcastle United U21 win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hartlepool have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Newcastle United U21 have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hartlepool
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Sutton Utd(away)	1-2	National League
Aug 15, 2026	Aldershot Town(away)	1-0	National League
Aug 11, 2026	Middlesbrough U21(home)	0-10	National League Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Barrow(home)	2-0	National League
Aug 1, 2026	Fleetwood Town(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

Newcastle United U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Tottenham Hotspur U21(home)	1-3	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	Tamworth(away)	3-5	National League Cup
Apr 27, 2026	Swansea City U21(away)	0-2	Professional Development League
Apr 13, 2026	Wolves U21(home)	1-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 10, 2026	Manchester United U21(away)	3-1	Premier League 2 Division One

How many goals should we expect?

Hartlepool score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Newcastle United U21 score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hartlepool	1.4	2.0	5	7/15	10/15
Newcastle United U21	1.5	2.0	2	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hartlepool vs Newcastle United U21?: The Footlab model makes Hartlepool the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Newcastle United U21.
Where and when is Hartlepool vs Newcastle United U21 played?: Hartlepool vs Newcastle United U21 is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at The Suit Direct Stadium, in the National League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.