Havant & Wville vs Welling United: result 2-1 and analysis
FA Trophy2nd RoundKick-off on January 16, 2016 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Westleigh Park, Havant, Hampshire
Full time
What was the result of Havant & Wville vs Welling United?
Havant & Wville won 2-1 on January 16, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 11′J. HillHavant & Wville
- 18′R. HarrisWelling United
- 64′Shamir Stephen MullingsHavant & Wville
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Havant & Wville have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Welling United have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2015 | Forest Green(home) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 28, 2015 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 27, 2015 | Cheltenham(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 24, 2015 | Cheltenham(home) | 3-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2015 | Aveley(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2016 | Grimsby(home) | 0-4 | National League |
| Dec 26, 2015 | Dover(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Dec 19, 2015 | Macclesfield(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Dec 12, 2015 | Tilbury(away) | 4-3 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 6, 2015 | Carlisle(home) | 0-5 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Havant & Wville score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Welling United score 1.2 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Havant & Wville | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Welling United | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy