Hay Al Arab vs Aigle Noir: prediction and stats
CAF Confederation Cup1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on August 18, 2023 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Port Sudan Stadium, Port Sudan
Match in progress
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hay Al Arab have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Aigle Noir have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2023 | Alamal Atbara(away) | 0-1 | Sudani Premier League |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Al Zoma Khartoum(away) | 2-0 | Sudani Premier League |
| Mar 21, 2023 | Kober(away) | 0-0 | Sudani Premier League |
| Mar 17, 2023 | Al Ahli Khartoum(away) | 3-2 | Sudani Premier League |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Hilal El-Fasher(home) | 4-1 | Sudani Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2023 | Musongati(home) | 3-1 | Ligue A |
| May 10, 2023 | Olympic Star(away) | 3-2 | Ligue A |
| May 7, 2023 | Dynamik(home) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Bujumbura City(away) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Rukinzo(home) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
How many goals should we expect?
Hay Al Arab score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aigle Noir score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hay Al Arab | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Aigle Noir | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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