Heart of Lions vs Basake Holy Stars: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kpandu Stadium, Kpandu
The Footlab model makes Heart of Lions the favourite at 66%, against 24% for a draw and 10% for Basake Holy Stars. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heart of Lions vs Basake Holy Stars?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Heart of Lions (1,580) and Basake Holy Stars (1,516).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heart of Lions have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Basake Holy Stars have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 2-5 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Samartex(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Nations(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Aduana Stars(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Karela(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Dreams(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Heart of Lions win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Basake Holy Stars win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars 1-0 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Heart of Lions 3-0 Basake Holy Stars | Premier League |
| May 18, 2025 | Basake Holy Stars 0-0 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Heart of Lions 3-1 Basake Holy Stars | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Basake Holy Stars vs Heart of Lions on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Heart of Lions score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Basake Holy Stars score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Lions | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Basake Holy Stars | 0.7 | 1.0 | 9 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heart of Lions sit 14th in Premier League (45 points from 34 matches) and Basake Holy Stars sit 12th (46 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Basake Holy Stars | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 30 | 39 | 46 |
| 14 | Heart of Lions | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 33 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heart of Lions vs Basake Holy Stars?
- The Footlab model makes Heart of Lions the favourite at 66%, against 24% for a draw and 10% for Basake Holy Stars.
- Where and when is Heart of Lions vs Basake Holy Stars played?
- Heart of Lions vs Basake Holy Stars is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kpandu Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.