Heider SV vs Kilia Kiel: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Meldorfer Straße, Heide
The Footlab model makes Kilia Kiel the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Heider SV. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heider SV vs Kilia Kiel?
Kilia Kiel starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heider SV have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Kilia Kiel have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Heider SV win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Kilia Kiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Kilia Kiel 5-0 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Heider SV 4-3 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Kilia Kiel 5-3 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Heider SV 1-3 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 20, 2023 | Heider SV 0-4 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Kilia Kiel 3-2 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Kilia Kiel vs Heider SV on Mar 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Heider SV score 1.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kilia Kiel score 3.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heider SV | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Kilia Kiel | 3.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heider SV sit 13th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (4 points from 5 matches) and Kilia Kiel sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kilia Kiel | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Heider SV | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heider SV vs Kilia Kiel?
- The Footlab model makes Kilia Kiel the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Heider SV.
- Where and when is Heider SV vs Kilia Kiel played?
- Heider SV vs Kilia Kiel is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Meldorfer Straße, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.