Heracles vs NAC Breda: result 4-1 and analysis
EredivisieRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 26, 2010 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Erve Asito, Almelo
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What was the result of Heracles vs NAC Breda?
Heracles won 4-1 on October 26, 2010.
Goalscorers
- 2′S. ArmenterosHeracles
- 8′M. FledderusHeracles
- 28′Willie OvertoomHeracles (pen.)
- 80′G. PletHeracles
- 85′K. LuijckxNAC Breda
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Heracles have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; NAC Breda have 4, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2010 | De Graafschap(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 17, 2010 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 3, 2010 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 25, 2010 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2010 | Twente(home) | 0-0 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2010 | Roda(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 16, 2010 | Ajax(away) | 0-3 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 2, 2010 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 26, 2010 | Willem II(home) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 18, 2010 | Vitesse(away) | 0-0 | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Heracles score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 10; NAC Breda score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/10 | 6/10 |
| NAC Breda | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/10 | 5/10 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heracles sit 18th in Eredivisie (19 points from 34 matches) and NAC Breda sit 17th (29 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | 58 | 29 |
| 18 | Heracles | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35 | 85 | 19 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy