Heracles vs NAC Breda: result 5-1 and analysis
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 11, 2022 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Erve Asito, Almelo
Full time
What was the result of Heracles vs NAC Breda?
Heracles won 5-1 on November 11, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 9′O. VelanasNAC Breda
- 16′T. BrunsHeracles
- 30′R. RooskenHeracles
- 42′N. LaursenHeracles
- 70′N. LaursenHeracles
- 74′E. HanssonHeracles
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heracles have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; NAC Breda have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2022 | Willem II(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 28, 2022 | Almere City FC(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 21, 2022 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2022 | Roda(away) | 2-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 14, 2022 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2022 | Telstar(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 28, 2022 | Den Bosch(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Dordrecht(away) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 19, 2022 | Hercules(away) | 1-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 14, 2022 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Heracles win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 NAC Breda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | Heracles 1-0 NAC Breda | Eredivisie |
| Nov 3, 2018 | NAC Breda 2-1 Heracles | Eredivisie |
| Feb 7, 2018 | NAC Breda 6-1 Heracles | Eredivisie |
| Nov 25, 2017 | Heracles 2-1 NAC Breda | Eredivisie |
| Apr 25, 2015 | NAC Breda 1-3 Heracles | Eredivisie |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Heracles 6-1 NAC Breda | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Heracles score 2.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; NAC Breda score 1.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles | 2.5 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 14/15 |
| NAC Breda | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heracles sit 4th in Eerste Divisie (6 points from 2 matches) and NAC Breda sit 7th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heracles | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Heracles | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | NAC Breda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | NAC Breda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy