Hercílio Luz vs Internacional SC: result 4-4 and analysis
Copa Santa CatarinaGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on September 2, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Aníbal Torres Costa, Tubarão, Santa Catarina
Full time
What was the result of Hercílio Luz vs Internacional SC?
Hercílio Luz and Internacional SC drew 4-4 on September 2, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 4′Anderson LigeiroHercílio Luz
- 11′VeníciusInternacional SC
- 17′?Internacional SC
- 49′?Hercílio Luz
- 50′?Hercílio Luz
- 56′?Hercílio Luz
- 62′?Internacional SC
- 78′?Internacional SC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hercílio Luz have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Internacional SC have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2023 | Ferroviária(home) | 2-2 | Serie D |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Ferroviária(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Aimoré(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Novo Hamburgo(away) | 5-5 | Serie D |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Independiente FSJ(home) | 3-0 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2023 | Nação(away) | 0-3 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Nação(home) | 1-0 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Santa Catarina(away) | 2-2 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Santa Catarina(home) | 4-2 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Juventus SC(away) | 1-0 | Catarinense - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Hercílio Luz score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Internacional SC score 1.0 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hercílio Luz | 1.6 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Internacional SC | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy