Hercílio Luz vs Joinville: result 4-3 and analysis
Catarinense - 1Regular Season - 11Kick-off on April 22, 2021 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estádio Aníbal Torres Costa, Tubarão, Santa Catarina
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What was the result of Hercílio Luz vs Joinville?
Hercílio Luz won 4-3 on April 22, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 6′HelersonJoinville
- 11′Diego MathiasJoinville
- 15′Renato LuisHercílio Luz
- 45′Luiz Fernando Dos SantosHercílio Luz
- 51′Thiago SantosJoinville
- 66′LeviHercílio Luz
- 90′PHHercílio Luz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hercílio Luz have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Joinville have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2021 | Avai(away) | 0-2 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Brusque(away) | 1-2 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Apr 5, 2021 | Concórdia(home) | 0-0 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Apr 1, 2021 | Figueirense(away) | 0-3 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Mar 27, 2021 | Metropolitano(home) | 2-2 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2021 | Brusque(home) | 0-0 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Apr 16, 2021 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 0-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Figueirense(away) | 1-1 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Apr 8, 2021 | Avai(away) | 0-1 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Apr 4, 2021 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 0-3 | Catarinense - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Hercílio Luz score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Joinville score 0.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hercílio Luz | 0.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Joinville | 0.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Joinville | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy