Hercílio Luz vs Novo Hamburgo: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie D1st Phase - 2Kick-off on May 13, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Aníbal Torres Costa, Tubarão, Santa Catarina
Full time
What was the result of Hercílio Luz vs Novo Hamburgo?
Hercílio Luz won 1-0 on May 13, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 45′WallaceHercílio Luz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hercílio Luz have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Novo Hamburgo have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2023 | Aimoré(away) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Mar 30, 2023 | Criciuma(home) | 2-1 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Criciuma(away) | 0-2 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Mar 22, 2023 | Figueirense(home) | 0-0 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Figueirense(away) | 1-0 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2023 | Camboriú(home) | 0-3 | Serie D |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Sao Jose(home) | 1-2 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Aimoré(away) | 1-0 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Feb 24, 2023 | Gremio(away) | 1-6 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Feb 17, 2023 | Caxias(home) | 1-1 | Gaúcho - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Hercílio Luz score 0.7 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Novo Hamburgo score 0.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hercílio Luz | 0.7 | 0.4 | 11 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
| Novo Hamburgo | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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