Heredia vs Deportivo Petapa: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga NacionalApertura - 7Kick-off on September 9, 2011 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Armando Barillas, Escuintla
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What was the result of Heredia vs Deportivo Petapa?
Heredia won 1-0 on September 9, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 38′Selvin Efraín de León CastilloHeredia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Heredia have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Deportivo Petapa have 2, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2011 | Marquense(away) | 1-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 28, 2011 | Juventud Retalteca(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 21, 2011 | Municipal(away) | 1-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 14, 2011 | Malacateco(home) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 7, 2011 | Xelajú(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2011 | Zacapa(away) | 2-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 28, 2011 | Marquense(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 21, 2011 | Juventud Retalteca(away) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 14, 2011 | Municipal(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 7, 2011 | Malacateco(away) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
How many goals should we expect?
Heredia score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 9; Deportivo Petapa score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heredia | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1 | 6/9 | 4/9 |
| Deportivo Petapa | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/9 | 4/9 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy