Heredia vs Mictlán: result 5-2 and analysis
Primera DivisionClausuraKick-off on January 18, 2015 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Armando Barillas, Escuintla
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What was the result of Heredia vs Mictlán?
Heredia won 5-2 on January 18, 2015.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heredia have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Mictlán have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2014 | Mixco(away) | 1-3 | Primera Division |
| Nov 9, 2014 | Sacachispas(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Nov 2, 2014 | Deportivo Jocotán(away) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 26, 2014 | Mictlán(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 19, 2014 | Zacapa(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2014 | Deportivo Chiantla(away) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Dec 10, 2014 | Deportivo Chiantla(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Dec 7, 2014 | San Pedro(home) | 3-0 | Primera Division |
| Dec 3, 2014 | San Pedro(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Nov 30, 2014 | Barillas(home) | 4-0 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Heredia win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Mictlán win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2014 | Heredia 2-1 Mictlán | Primera Division |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Mictlán 3-1 Heredia | Primera Division |
| Apr 6, 2014 | Mictlán 1-0 Heredia | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 12, 2014 | Heredia 4-0 Mictlán | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 10, 2013 | Heredia 4-2 Mictlán | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 13, 2013 | Mictlán 2-0 Heredia | Liga Nacional |
How many goals should we expect?
Heredia score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mictlán score 1.4 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heredia | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Mictlán | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy