Hereford United vs Luton: result 1-0 and analysis
National LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 6, 2012 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Edgar Street Athletic Ground, Hereford, Herefordshire
Full time
What was the result of Hereford United vs Luton?
Hereford United won 1-0 on November 6, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 55′J. McQuilkinHereford United
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hereford United have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Luton have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2012 | Shrewsbury(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Southport(away) | 2-2 | National League |
| Oct 20, 2012 | United of Manchester(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 13, 2012 | Braintree(home) | 0-0 | National League |
| Oct 9, 2012 | Nuneaton Town(away) | 0-0 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2012 | Nuneaton Town(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Forest Green(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Cambridge United(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 13, 2012 | Nuneaton Town(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Oct 9, 2012 | Braintree(home) | 2-3 | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Hereford United score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Luton score 1.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hereford United | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Luton | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy