Heybridge Swifts vs AFC Sudbury: result 4-1 and analysis
FA Cup1st Round QualifyingKick-off on September 8, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)First Call Community Stadium, Maldon, Essex
Full time
What was the result of Heybridge Swifts vs AFC Sudbury?
Heybridge Swifts won 4-1 on September 8, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Heybridge Swifts have 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; AFC Sudbury have 4, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2012 | Felixstowe & Walton Utd(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Felixstowe & Walton Utd(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 8, 2011 | Potters Bar Town(away) | 0-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Lowestoft Town(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2012 | Ilford(home) | 5-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Arlesey Town(away) | 1-3 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Eastbourne Borough(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 8, 2011 | Great Wakering Rovers(home) | 6-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Merstham(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Heybridge Swifts score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 4; AFC Sudbury score 2.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heybridge Swifts | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
| AFC Sudbury | 2.5 | 0.8 | 3 | 2/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 7, 2012Worksop Town0-2Frickley Athletic
- Sep 7, 2012Royal Wootton3-1Highworth Town
- Sep 8, 2012Leatherhead3-1Tooting & Mitcham United
- Sep 8, 2012Slough Town4-1Lingfield
- Sep 8, 2012Curzon Ashton8-1Maltby Main
- Sep 8, 2012Chesham United0-1Northwood
- Sep 8, 2012Chorley2-0Nantwich Town
- Sep 8, 2012AFC Fylde3-1Ramsbottom United