Where and when is HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC played?

HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC is played on October 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Wanderers Grounds, in the Canadian Premier League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC: prediction and stats

Canadian Premier LeagueGroup StageKick-off on October 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Wanderers Grounds, Halifax, Nova Scotia

HFX Wanderers FC

Cavalry FC

The Footlab model makes Cavalry FC the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for HFX Wanderers FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC?

Cavalry FC starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,882 vs 1,642).

HFX Wanderers FC win21 %

Draw25 %

Cavalry FC win53 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HFX Wanderers FC have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Cavalry FC have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

HFX Wanderers FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Vancouver FC(home)	1-0	Canadian Premier League
Aug 16, 2026	York United(away)	3-4	Canadian Premier League
Aug 8, 2026	Atlético Ottawa(away)	1-2	Canadian Premier League
Aug 2, 2026	Forge(home)	0-0	Canadian Premier League
Jul 24, 2026	Supra du Quebec(home)	2-3	Canadian Premier League

Cavalry FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Atlético Ottawa(home)	3-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 15, 2026	Forge(home)	2-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 9, 2026	Supra du Quebec(away)	1-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 2, 2026	York United(home)	5-0	Canadian Premier League
Jul 29, 2026	Supra du Quebec(home)	2-1	Canadian Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 HFX Wanderers FC win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Cavalry FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 18, 2026	Cavalry FC 1-1 HFX Wanderers FC	Canadian Premier League
Jun 6, 2026	Cavalry FC 2-0 HFX Wanderers FC	Canadian Premier League
Sep 13, 2025	Cavalry FC 3-1 HFX Wanderers FC	Canadian Premier League
Aug 9, 2025	Cavalry FC 0-0 HFX Wanderers FC	Canadian Premier League
Jun 14, 2025	HFX Wanderers FC 1-1 Cavalry FC	Canadian Premier League
May 10, 2025	HFX Wanderers FC 0-3 Cavalry FC	Canadian Premier League

Last archived meeting: Cavalry FC vs HFX Wanderers FC on Jul 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

HFX Wanderers FC score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cavalry FC score 2.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
HFX Wanderers FC	1.2	1.7	3	8/15	7/15
Cavalry FC	2.3	0.7	5	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

HFX Wanderers FC sit 5th in Canadian Premier League (20 points from 19 matches) and Cavalry FC sit 2nd (40 points from 18 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Cavalry FC	18	12	4	2	36	11	40
5	HFX Wanderers FC	19	5	5	9	25	30	20

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC?: The Footlab model makes Cavalry FC the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for HFX Wanderers FC.
Where and when is HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC played?: HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC is played on October 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Wanderers Grounds, in the Canadian Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.