HIK vs Middelfart: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Gentofte Sportspark Vest, Gentofte
The Footlab model makes Middelfart the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for HIK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HIK vs Middelfart?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate HIK (1,596) and Middelfart (1,679).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HIK have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Middelfart have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | B 93(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FA 2000(home) | 2-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Naestved(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rudersdal(away) | 5-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VSK Århus(home) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nykobing FC(home) | 2-3 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Roskilde(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Brabrand(home) | 4-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bredballe(away) | 2-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Thisted FC(home) | 4-1 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 HIK win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Middelfart win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Middelfart 2-1 HIK | 2. Division |
| Sep 15, 2024 | HIK 1-1 Middelfart | 2. Division |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Middelfart 4-0 HIK | 2. Division |
| Oct 14, 2023 | HIK 1-2 Middelfart | 2. Division |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Middelfart 1-2 HIK | 2. Division |
| Oct 2, 2021 | HIK 2-0 Middelfart | 2. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
HIK score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Middelfart score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HIK | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Middelfart | 1.7 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HIK sit 9th in 2. Division (4 points from 4 matches) and Middelfart sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Middelfart | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | HIK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HIK vs Middelfart?
- The Footlab model makes Middelfart the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for HIK.
- Where and when is HIK vs Middelfart played?
- HIK vs Middelfart is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gentofte Sportspark Vest, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.