HIK vs Naestved: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 19Kick-off on March 19, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Gentofte Sportspark Vest, Gentofte
The Footlab model makes Naestved the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for HIK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HIK vs Naestved?
Naestved starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,723 vs 1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HIK have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Naestved have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | B 93(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FA 2000(home) | 2-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Naestved(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rudersdal(away) | 5-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VSK Århus(home) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | VSK Århus(home) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nykobing FC(away) | 1-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Brabrand(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | HIK(home) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hvidovre(home) | 1-0 | DBU Pokalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 HIK win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Naestved win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Naestved 1-1 HIK | 2. Division |
| May 13, 2026 | Naestved 1-2 HIK | 2. Division |
| May 1, 2026 | HIK 1-2 Naestved | 2. Division |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Naestved 2-1 HIK | 2. Division |
| Aug 8, 2025 | HIK 2-1 Naestved | 2. Division |
| Feb 28, 2025 | HIK 3-0 Naestved | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
HIK score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Naestved score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HIK | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Naestved | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HIK sit 9th in 2. Division (4 points from 4 matches) and Naestved sit 8th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Naestved | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 9 | HIK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HIK vs Naestved?
- The Footlab model makes Naestved the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for HIK.
- Where and when is HIK vs Naestved played?
- HIK vs Naestved is played on March 19, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Gentofte Sportspark Vest, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.