Match

Hill Of Beath Hawthorn vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic: prediction and stats

Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Keirs Park, Hill of Beath

Hill Of Beath HawthornBonnyrigg Rose Athletic

The Footlab model makes Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Hill Of Beath Hawthorn. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hill Of Beath Hawthorn vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Hill Of Beath Hawthorn (1,607) and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic (1,690).

Hill Of Beath Hawthorn win33 %
Draw22 %
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hill Of Beath Hawthorn have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gala Fairydean Rovers(away)4-3Football League - Lowland League
Aug 8, 2026Dunipace(home)1-0Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Berwick Rangers(away)2-0Football League - Lowland League
Jul 28, 2026Civil Service Strollers(away)0-4Football League - Lowland League
Jul 25, 2026East Stirlingshire(home)1-2Football League - Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Berwick Rangers(away)2-0Football League - Lowland League
Aug 11, 2026Annan Athletic(home)1-0Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026East Stirlingshire(home)4-1Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Brechin(home)1-2Football League - Lowland League
Jul 28, 2026Bo'ness United(away)4-0Football League - Lowland League

How many goals should we expect?

Hill Of Beath Hawthorn score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic score 2.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn2.11.457/1510/15
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic2.41.469/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hill Of Beath Hawthorn sit 14th in Football League - Lowland League (9 points from 5 matches) and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic sit 9th (12 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic540114312
14Hill Of Beath Hawthorn5302899

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hill Of Beath Hawthorn vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?
The Footlab model makes Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Hill Of Beath Hawthorn.
Where and when is Hill Of Beath Hawthorn vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic played?
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Keirs Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hill Of Beath Hawthorn and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic

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