Hillerød vs HB Koge: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Right to Dream Park, Farum
The Footlab AI model makes Hillerød the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for HB Koge. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hillerød wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hillerød vs HB Koge?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Hillerød (1,766) and HB Koge (1,708).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hillerød vs HB Koge
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hillerød
4-3-3- 23Jakob Sigurdsson
- 24F. Høgh
- 10P. Kallsberg
- 8T. Arndal
- 20B. Kücükylidiz
- 14S. Opoku
- 13Sebastian Larsen
- 17M. Julø
- 18O. Lauritsen
- 7J. Witt
- 1A. Dithmer
HB Koge
3-4-3- 9T. Thomsen
- 11M. Warming
- 19E. Semovski
- 7M. Jensen
- 6R. Brodersen
- 28G. Larsen
- 25F. Isaki
- 22M. Jakobsen
- 2L. Bust
- 4S. Hald
- 1N. Sømmergaard
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hillerød have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; HB Koge have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Fredericia(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Kolding IF(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AB Copenhagen(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Vanløse(away) | 1-2 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 4, 2026 | HB Koge(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Hobro(home) | 5-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Esbjerg(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Hillerød(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Aalborg(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Hillerød wins, 2 draws, 0 HB Koge wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | HB Koge 1-1 Hillerød | 1. Division |
| Nov 7, 2025 | HB Koge 1-1 Hillerød | 1. Division |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Hillerød 3-1 HB Koge | 1. Division |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Hillerød 3-0 HB Koge | 1. Division |
| Apr 13, 2025 | HB Koge 0-2 Hillerød | 1. Division |
| Dec 2, 2024 | HB Koge 1-5 Hillerød | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Hillerød score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; HB Koge score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hillerød | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| HB Koge | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hillerød sit 11th in 1. Division (9 points from 10 matches) and HB Koge sit 8th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | HB Koge | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 10 |
| 11 | Hillerød | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 9 |
A question about Hillerød vs HB Koge?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hillerød vs HB Koge?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hillerød the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for HB Koge.
- Where and when is Hillerød vs HB Koge played?
- Hillerød vs HB Koge is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Right to Dream Park, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.