HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Poljud, Split
The Footlab model makes HNK Hajduk Split the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for NK Osijek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek?
HNK Hajduk Split starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (2,043 vs 1,889).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HNK Hajduk Split have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; NK Osijek have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | NK Osijek(home) | 4-0 | HNL |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HNK Gorica(away) | 2-1 | HNL |
| Aug 13, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Istra 1961(home) | 2-2 | HNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 0-4 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(home) | 1-0 | HNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rudes(away) | 6-1 | HNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | HNK Gorica(away) | 2-0 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rizespor(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 HNK Hajduk Split win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 NK Osijek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split 4-0 NK Osijek | HNL |
| Apr 21, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split 0-1 NK Osijek | HNL |
| Feb 15, 2026 | NK Osijek 0-2 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
| Nov 8, 2025 | HNK Hajduk Split 2-0 NK Osijek | HNL |
| Aug 24, 2025 | NK Osijek 0-2 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
| Apr 27, 2025 | NK Osijek 2-0 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
Last archived meeting: HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
HNK Hajduk Split score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; NK Osijek score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Hajduk Split | 2.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| NK Osijek | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HNK Hajduk Split sit 4th in HNL (7 points from 4 matches) and NK Osijek sit 2nd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NK Osijek | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | HNK Hajduk Split | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek?
- The Footlab model makes HNK Hajduk Split the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for NK Osijek.
- Where and when is HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek played?
- HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Poljud, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.