Hobro vs Aalborg: result 2-1 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)DS Arena, Hobro
Full time
What was the result of Hobro vs Aalborg?
Hobro won 2-1 on August 21, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 8′S. AndreasenHobro
- 85′F. DietzHobro
- 90′E. MakolliAalborg
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab model gave a Aalborg win at 39%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1 — actual score: 2-1.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hobro have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Aalborg have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Esbjerg(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AB Copenhagen(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(home) | 0-4 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Aarhus Fremad(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Fredericia(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kolding IF(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Holstebro(away) | 3-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Aarhus Fremad(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Hillerød(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hobro win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Aalborg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Aalborg 1-1 Hobro | 1. Division |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Hobro 0-1 Aalborg | 1. Division |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Hobro 1-0 Aalborg | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Aalborg 1-1 Hobro | 1. Division |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Hobro 1-1 Aalborg | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 5, 2024 | Aalborg 2-3 Hobro | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Hobro score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Aalborg score 1.4 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hobro | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Aalborg | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hobro sit 2nd in 1. Division (12 points from 5 matches) and Aalborg sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hobro | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 6 | Aalborg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy