Hobro vs Esbjerg: result 1-2 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 16, 2011 at 11:45 AM (UTC)DS Arena, Hobro
Full time
What was the result of Hobro vs Esbjerg?
Esbjerg won 1-2 on October 16, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 2′C. JensenHobro
- 16′M. BraithwaiteEsbjerg
- 40′N. HøghEsbjerg
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Hobro have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Esbjerg have 6, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2011 | FC Fredericia(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Viborg(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 25, 2011 | Jammerbugt(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2011 | Naestved(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Brønshøj(home) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2011 | Brønshøj(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 2, 2011 | Randers FC(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 23, 2011 | Vejle(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2011 | Skive(away) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 11, 2011 | Roskilde(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Hobro score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 9; Esbjerg score 2.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hobro | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0 | 7/9 | 4/9 |
| Esbjerg | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 3/9 | 5/9 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hobro sit 2nd in 1. Division (12 points from 5 matches) and Esbjerg sit 9th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hobro | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 9 | Esbjerg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy