Hódmezővásárhely vs ESMTK: prediction and stats
NB III - SoutheastSoutheast - 18Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Hódmezővásárhelyi Városi Stadion, Hódmezővásárhely
The Footlab model makes ESMTK the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Hódmezővásárhely. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hódmezővásárhely vs ESMTK?
ESMTK starts as the favourite with a 264-point Elo edge (1,654 vs 1,390).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hódmezővásárhely have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; ESMTK have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Csepel(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | III. Kerületi TUE(home) | 0-3 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ESMTK(away) | 2-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gyulai Termál(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Southeast |
| May 24, 2026 | III. Kerületi TUE(home) | 3-6 | NB III - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Algyő SK(away) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | BKV Előre(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Csepel(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hódmezővásárhely(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Monori Se(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hódmezővásárhely win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 ESMTK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | ESMTK 2-2 Hódmezővásárhely | NB III - Southeast |
| May 10, 2026 | ESMTK 4-0 Hódmezővásárhely | NB III - Southeast |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Hódmezővásárhely 0-3 ESMTK | NB III - Southeast |
| Mar 9, 2025 | ESMTK 0-0 Hódmezővásárhely | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Hódmezővásárhely 1-2 ESMTK | NB III - Southeast |
| May 26, 2024 | ESMTK 2-1 Hódmezővásárhely | NB III - Southeast |
Last archived meeting: ESMTK vs Hódmezővásárhely on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hódmezővásárhely score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; ESMTK score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hódmezővásárhely | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| ESMTK | 2.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hódmezővásárhely sit 13th in NB III - Southeast (2 points from 4 matches) and ESMTK sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | ESMTK | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 13 | Hódmezővásárhely | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hódmezővásárhely vs ESMTK?
- The Footlab model makes ESMTK the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Hódmezővásárhely.
- Where and when is Hódmezővásárhely vs ESMTK played?
- Hódmezővásárhely vs ESMTK is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Hódmezővásárhelyi Városi Stadion, in the NB III - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.