Holstebro vs Aalborg Freja: result 1-0 and analysis
Denmark Series - Group 3Regular Season - 9Kick-off on October 6, 2012 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Krøyer Park, Holstebro
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What was the result of Holstebro vs Aalborg Freja?
Holstebro won 1-0 on October 6, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstebro have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Aalborg Freja have 3, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2012 | Silkeborg II(away) | 3-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 23, 2012 | AaB II(home) | 2-2 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Kolding IF(away) | 1-3 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 9, 2012 | Lindholm(home) | 1-3 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Viby(away) | 3-3 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2012 | Randers Freja(away) | 2-5 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Silkeborg II(home) | 3-0 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 14, 2012 | AaB II(away) | 1-2 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Kolding IF(home) | 0-3 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 2, 2012 | Lindholm(away) | 1-3 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Holstebro score 1.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Aalborg Freja score 1.8 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstebro | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Aalborg Freja | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1 | 7/10 | 8/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy