Holywell vs Newtown AFC: result 3-2 and analysis
Welsh Cup4th RoundKick-off on February 22, 2014 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Bartons North Wales Stadium, Holywell
Full time
What was the result of Holywell vs Newtown AFC?
Holywell won 3-2 on February 22, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 10′156364Holywell
- 15′156366Holywell
- 44′Steve ThomasHolywell
- 55′Tom GoodwinNewtown AFC
- 72′Matthew HearseyNewtown AFC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Holywell have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Newtown AFC have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2013 | Llandrindod Wells(away) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 9, 2013 | Penycae(home) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Penrhyncoch(home) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Dec 8, 2012 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 0-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Llandudno(home) | 5-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2014 | Prestatyn Town(away) | 2-5 | Premier League |
| Jan 5, 2014 | Afan Lido(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 1, 2014 | The New Saints(away) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2013 | The New Saints(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 21, 2013 | Airbus UK(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Holywell score 2.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 6; Newtown AFC score 1.9 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holywell | 2.8 | 1.2 | 2 | 3/6 | 5/6 |
| Newtown AFC | 1.9 | 1.6 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy