Holzheimer SG vs SW Essen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 32Kick-off on May 28, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Bezirkssportanlage Holzheim, Neuss
The Footlab model makes Holzheimer SG the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for SW Essen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holzheimer SG vs SW Essen?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Holzheimer SG (1,706) and SW Essen (1,733).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holzheimer SG have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; SW Essen have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Solingen-Wald(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | KFC Uerdingen 05(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Schonnebeck(home) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | BW Dingden(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Germania Ratingen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Scherpenberg(away) | 3-5 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Meerbusch(home) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Kleve(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Holzheimer SG win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 SW Essen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | SW Essen 4-1 Holzheimer SG | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Holzheimer SG 1-1 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: SW Essen vs Holzheimer SG on Apr 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Holzheimer SG score 1.4 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; SW Essen score 1.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holzheimer SG | 1.4 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| SW Essen | 1.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holzheimer SG sit 17th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (0 points from 2 matches) and SW Essen sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | SW Essen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 | Holzheimer SG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holzheimer SG vs SW Essen?
- The Footlab model makes Holzheimer SG the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for SW Essen.
- Where and when is Holzheimer SG vs SW Essen played?
- Holzheimer SG vs SW Essen is played on May 28, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Bezirkssportanlage Holzheim, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 28, 2027Wuppertaler SVvsViktoria Jüchen-Garz.
- May 28, 2027Fortuna Düsseldorf IIvsScherpenberg
- May 30, 2027SchonnebeckvsSolingen-Wald
- May 30, 2027Germania RatingenvsMonheim
- May 30, 2027BW DingdenvsMeerbusch
- May 30, 2027SF BaumbergvsSSVg Velbert
- May 30, 2027BüderichvsKFC Uerdingen 05
- May 30, 2027SC St. TönisvsSonsbeck