Match

Holzheimer SG vs SW Essen: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 32Kick-off on May 28, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Bezirkssportanlage Holzheim, Neuss

Holzheimer SGSW Essen

The Footlab model makes Holzheimer SG the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for SW Essen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holzheimer SG vs SW Essen?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Holzheimer SG (1,706) and SW Essen (1,733).

Holzheimer SG win42 %
Draw22 %
SW Essen win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holzheimer SG have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; SW Essen have 4, 0 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holzheimer SG
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Solingen-Wald(away)1-2Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 15, 2026KFC Uerdingen 05(home)1-5Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jun 7, 2026Schonnebeck(home)3-4Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 31, 2026BW Dingden(away)0-0Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 17, 2026Germania Ratingen(home)2-2Oberliga - Niederrhein
SW Essen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SSVg Velbert(home)1-4Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 14, 2026Scherpenberg(away)3-5Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 11, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)1-5Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Meerbusch(home)3-4Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 31, 2026Kleve(away)3-4Oberliga - Niederrhein

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Holzheimer SG win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 SW Essen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 2, 2026SW Essen 4-1 Holzheimer SGOberliga - Niederrhein
Oct 12, 2025Holzheimer SG 1-1 SW EssenOberliga - Niederrhein

Last archived meeting: SW Essen vs Holzheimer SG on Apr 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Holzheimer SG score 1.4 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; SW Essen score 1.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Holzheimer SG1.42.539/1512/15
SW Essen1.52.719/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holzheimer SG sit 17th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (0 points from 2 matches) and SW Essen sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16SW Essen2002490
17Holzheimer SG2002270

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holzheimer SG vs SW Essen?
The Footlab model makes Holzheimer SG the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for SW Essen.
Where and when is Holzheimer SG vs SW Essen played?
Holzheimer SG vs SW Essen is played on May 28, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Bezirkssportanlage Holzheim, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Holzheimer SG and SW Essen

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