Hořovicko vs Strakonice: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie AGroup A - 9Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hořovice UMT, Hořovice
The Footlab model makes Hořovicko the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Strakonice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hořovicko vs Strakonice?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Hořovicko (1,585) and Strakonice (1,622).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hořovicko have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Strakonice have 2, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Táborsko II(home) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Spartak Soběslav(away) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hluboka nad Vltavou(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rokycany(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Benešov(home) | 0-3 | 4. liga - Divizie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nyrsko(home) | 5-2 | 4. liga - Divizie A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Křimice(away) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie A |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Příbram(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Doubravka(home) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Milevsko(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Hořovicko score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Strakonice score 1.7 and concede 3.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hořovicko | 1.6 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Strakonice | 1.7 | 3.5 | 0 | 5/6 | 5/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hořovicko sit 7th in 4. liga - Divizie A (4 points from 3 matches) and Strakonice sit 10th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hořovicko | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Strakonice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hořovicko vs Strakonice?
- The Footlab model makes Hořovicko the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Strakonice.
- Where and when is Hořovicko vs Strakonice played?
- Hořovicko vs Strakonice is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hořovice UMT, in the 4. liga - Divizie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.