Horsham vs Aveley: result 4-3 and analysis
FA Trophy3rd Round QualifyingKick-off on October 8, 2022 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Camping World Community Stadium, Horsham, West Sussex
Full time
What was the result of Horsham vs Aveley?
Horsham won 4-3 on October 8, 2022.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Horsham have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Aveley have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2022 | Bowers & Pitsea(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 27, 2022 | Enfield Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 20, 2022 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Haringey Borough(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2022 | Margate(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Herne Bay(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 16, 2022 | Bishop's Stortford(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 12, 2022 | Potters Bar Town(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 6, 2022 | Potters Bar Town(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Horsham score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Aveley score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horsham | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Aveley | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 8, 2022Guiseley AFC3-1Whitby Town
- Oct 8, 2022Billericay Town2-0Margate
- Oct 8, 2022Haringey Borough1-0Brightlingsea Regent
- Oct 8, 2022Hitchin Town0-3Redditch United
- Oct 8, 2022Metropolitan Police0-0Hastings United
- Oct 8, 2022Gainsborough Trinity3-1Barwell
- Oct 8, 2022Hyde United2-3Colne
- Oct 8, 2022Macclesfield6-1Bamber Bridge