Hougang United vs Home United: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Hougang Stadium, Singapore
The Footlab model makes Home United the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Hougang United. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hougang United vs Home United?
Home United is a heavy favourite: 1,809 Elo points against 1,455, a 355-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hougang United have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Home United have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | Tanjong Pagar(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Tanjong Pagar(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Balestier Khalsa(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Albirex Niigata S(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Albirex Niigata S(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Geylang International(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Young Lions(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hougang United win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Home United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Home United 4-1 Hougang United | Premier League |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Hougang United 1-5 Home United | Premier League |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Home United 2-1 Hougang United | Premier League |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Hougang United 1-1 Home United | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Home United 3-1 Hougang United | Premier League |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Home United 7-1 Hougang United | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Home United vs Hougang United on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hougang United score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Home United score 2.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hougang United | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Home United | 2.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hougang United sit 6th in Premier League (21 points from 21 matches) and Home United sit 1st (51 points from 21 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Home United | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 70 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Hougang United | 21 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 24 | 41 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hougang United vs Home United?
- The Footlab model makes Home United the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Hougang United.
- Where and when is Hougang United vs Home United played?
- Hougang United vs Home United is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Hougang Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.